Toronto FC vs New York Red Bulls FC Prediction: The Reds have the worst home record in MLS this season

Toronto FC
Toronto FC
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26 Jun 2025 02:30
New York Red Bulls FC
New York Red Bulls FC
Football: USA, MLS, Round 19
Stadium: BMO Field
Time: 26.06.2025, 02:30 AM

Kingston James
24 Jun 2025
19:03
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Toronto FC vs New York Red Bulls FC: Prediction for the Match on June 26, 2025

Having managed just a win in five MLS games, Toronto FC will be keen to secure the maximum points against New York Red Bulls FC at BMO Field later this week. In a bid to end their disastrous league run, Toronto FC must do everything right to recover against the guests who are also looking to rebound. 

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Last five games: LWLLL

The Reds have now gone three consecutive games without a breakthrough, as they dropped down on the log. Toronto FC had one of their worst first-half performances of the season, going the entire forty-five minutes without a shot. After a halftime draw at break, Charlotte FC broke the deadlock in the 56th minute and doubled it in the 90th minute. Toronto FC tried to get back into the game, but unfortunately, they couldn’t find the back of the net. 

Toronto FC head here with three consecutive distasteful performances on their ground as they were overwhelmed by Philadelphia, Nashville and Charlotte FC. Toronto FC have managed one win in five games, although they have scored at least one goal in three of their last four MLS games. 

Robin Fraser’s men are one of the most inconsistent teams in the division this campaign, as they sit in fourteenth place on the standings. 

With three wins in their last twenty MLS games, Toronto FC are now two points above the bottom of the Eastern Conference. Toronto FC are still searching for their second win on their home turf since the league began, heading here with seven losses and two stalemates.

Toronto FC have picked up thirteen points from a combined fifty-one, scoring eighteen (18) and conceding twenty-four (24).

Robin Fraser has lots of injuries ravaging their performance, and he has tried to tweak the formation in four consecutive games, all to no avail. The hosts are closer to the relegation spot than ever before, and they are not hoping to feature in this season’s playoffs. Their best player, Federico Bernardeschi, won’t feature in this game, and his absence will be felt. 

Toronto FC Potential Starting Lineup (3-4-2-1)

Sean Johnson—Zane Monlouis, Lazar Stefanovic, Petretta—Thompson, Flores, Osorio, Spicer—Maxime Dominguez, Lorenzo Insigne—Ola Brynhildsen

Out: Kerr, Derrick Etienne, Henry Wingo, Franklin, Gomis, Federico Bernardeschi

Head coach: Robin Fraser

Last five matches: LWWWL

The Red Bulls Metro suffered a setback after their run of three consecutive wins. New York Red Bulls FC, who had previously won against DC United (0-2), secured maximum points at home against Charlotte (4-2) and recorded a (2-0) victory over Atlanta, but were humbled by Austin FC. New York Red Bulls FC were nowhere near their best from the start of the game till the end. They conceded with just six minutes on the pitch but levelled in the 23rd minute to share the spoils at the break. They began the second half in similar fashion, firing fifteen shots without finding the back of the net.

It was a bad day at the office for a side that had previously recorded three consecutive wins. 

The New York Red Bulls have not been consistent enough in the league, and with three wins in their last six MLS matches, they sit in eighth place on the log. 

New York Red Bull FC have also secured twenty-seven points from a combined fifty-four, scoring twenty-nine (29) while conceding twenty-one (21) times.

The Red Bulls Metro have been pretty terrible on the road, winning one of their last nine away matches in the league. 

The guests will play without their consistent midfielder, Stroud, who is suspended for this game. The absence of Valencia means there will be a tweak in central defence, with Eile and Hack holding onto the starting shirts. 

New York Red Bull FC Potential Starting Lineup (4-2-3-1)

Carlos Coronel—Duncan, Eile, Hack, Edwards—Felipe Carballo, Edelman—Forseberg, Carmona, Harper—Eric Maxim Choupo Moting

Out: Mitchell, Nealis, Ngoma, Stroud, Morales

Head coach: Sandro Schwarz 

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Over their last ten meetings, New York Red Bulls FC have won seven while Toronto FC have recorded a win and two games ending in a tie. New York Red Bulls FC are undefeated in the league across their previous thirteen meetings against Toronto FC. 

The New York Red Bulls have been winning at the break in four of the last five meetings against Toronto FC. 

  • Toronto FC have failed to keep a clean sheet across their last five games in the league. You can try out a BTTS for 1.80, which is available on the Bet365 bookmaker website.
  • More than four cards have surfaced in four of the last five New York Red Bulls FC MLS games. A total of over 4.5 cards might surface here for 1.70 on the 1xbet bookmaker website.
  • Toronto FC have lost three consecutive MLS matches. You can try out New York Red Bulls FC to score first, which is available for 1.83 on the Betway bookmaker website.

For the seventh time on their ground this season, Toronto FC suffered another loss. They have been the most inconsistent team at home in the MLS this season. On the other hand, New York Red Bulls FC suffered a shocking away loss against Austin FC, managing just a shot at goal in the entire ninety minutes. 

New York Red Bulls FC have a pretty decent team, capable of upsetting any opponent in the division. However, they have been inconsistent lately and sometimes lack focus during games.

Despite the guests' terrible performances on the road, they have a solid record against Toronto FC. 

Since the Toronto FC have managed just a win in fifteen home matches, I expect New York Red Bulls to take advantage of their vulnerability at the back. 

My match prediction is for New York Red Bulls to win either half for a coefficient of 1.70 on the Betway bookmaker.

My betting tip for this game is for New York Red Bulls FC to win or draw and score more than a goal for a coefficient of 2.26 on the Bet365 bookmaker.

My final prediction is BTTS for a coefficient of 1.82 on the 1xbet bookmaker.

Good luck!

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